2021年研究院团队成员宋飞博士等在期刊“Science of the Total Environment”上发表题目为“Analysis of driving forces on wetland ecosystem services value change: A case in Northeast China”的论文。文章通过研究中国东北地区1980年至2015年的土地利用数据，使用Emergy方法和LMDI分析计算了湿地主要ESV，并揭示了不同因素对其变化的影响。研究发现，供给和文化服务价值增加，而调节和支持服务价值减少；湿地ESV显著增加，主要受到湿地支持、人均GDP和保护投资等因素的影响。社会经济发展是主要驱动力，其次是人类活动，自然因素的影响相对较小。这些研究结果为保护和改善湿地ESV提供了重要参考。根据基本科学指标（Essential Science Indicators，简称ESI）最新统计结果，本文入选Environment/Ecology学术领域高被引论文，被引频次位居该领域最优秀的1%之列，受到国内外同行广泛认可。

Abstract Social development and changes in natural conditions have seriously affected the ecosystem services value (ESV) of wetlands. It is important for social sustainable development and human welfare to identify and evaluate the driving factors that lead to changes in ESVs. Based on the land use data of Northeast China (NEC) from 1980 to 2015, the Emergy method and Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index decomposition analysis (LMDI) was applied to calculate the main ESVs of wetlands and clarify the contributions of different driving factors to ESVs changes. The results showed that the value of provision services (ESVp) and cultural services (ESVc) increased significantly, while the value of regulation services (ESVr) and supporting services (ESVs) decreased. Overall, the ESV of wet- lands increased by 7.31 × 1022 solar emjoules (sej), with a growth rate of 127.73%. The most obvious factors driv- ing ESV changes were the wetland supporting factor (△GA), per capita GDP factor (△PG), and protection investment factor (△T). The combined average contribution weight of the three factors was above 50%. From the perspective of driving force category, social-economic development effect had the greatest impact on ESVs, with average contribution weights ranging from 45.18% to 54.59%, followed by human activity effect, average contribution weights ranging from 33.45% to 40.14%, and the influence of natural factor effect was relatively small. The research results would provide a reference for protecting and improving the ESV of the wetland ecosystem. 

原文链接：https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1474706517301560

      Analysis of driving forces on wetland ecosystem services value change.pdf